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NH-Sen: UNH Poll Has Jeanne Shaheen (D) Beating Scott Brown (R) By 12 Points

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It's not the most surprising news but I am always happy to report on how much of a bust Scott Brown's (R. NH) comeback bid is:

http://www.masslive.com/...

Former Republican U.S. Sen. Scott Brown is trailing Democratic Sen. Jeanne Shaheen by 12 points in New Hampshire's Senate race, but many likely voters remain undecided about who they will support in November.

This, according to the latest WMUR Granite State Poll, conducted by the University of New Hampshire Survey Center between June 19 and July 1.

The survey of 509 likely voters concluded that if the election were held today and Brown was the Republican nominee to take on the incumbent Shaheen, she would pull support from 50 percent of the state while Brown has support from 38 percent. Twelve percent of likely voters said they are undecided, however, about who they would support.

When the undecided voters were asked which candidate they are leaning toward, 52 percent said Shaheen, 40 percent said Brown, seven percent said they are still solidly undecided and just one percent said another candidate. - The Republican, 7/10/14

Here's some info:

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/...

WASHINGTON, DC - MAY 06:  U.S. Sen. Jeanne Shaheen (D-NH) speaks to members of the media after a policy luncheon May 6, 2014 on Capitol Hill in Washington, DC. Senate Democrats held their weekly policy luncheon to discuss Democratic agenda.  (Photo by Alex Wong/Getty Images)
To make matters worse for Brown, who lost to Elizabeth Warren in Massachusetts in 2012, Shaheen's popularity is growing with Granite State voters. Fifty-seven percent of those surveyed have a favorable opinion of the job she is doing, compared with 29 percent who said they have an unfavorable opinion. Just 31 percent of New Hampshire adults said they have a favorable opinion of Brown, however, while 40 percent have an unfavorable opinion.

Shaheen's campaign touted the numbers in a press release by highlighting her challenger's unpopularity.

"This poll shows what Granite Staters know: Jeanne Shaheen puts New Hampshire first and her common sense leadership makes a difference for people here. She's got deep roots in New Hampshire, raised her family here and her record proves she shares our values," campaign manager Mike Vlacich said.

In some good news for the Republican, only 17 percent of likely voters say they have definitely decided whom to support in the race. A whopping 69 percent are still trying to decide, allowing Brown some potential room for improvement.

"So right now, with the dynamics that we have going on, she's in pretty good shape, but as we said, nobody is really paying attention to this race," said pollster Andy Smith of the University of New Hampshire Survey Center.

New Hampshire's Senate primary is scheduled for Sept. 9. Former Sen. Bob Smith and former state Sen. Jim Rubens -- who are also Republicans running for the nomination -- trail Shaheen by 23 points and 26 points, respectively, in potential matchups.

The survey of 669 randomly selected New Hampshire adults was conducted on behalf of WMUR by the UNH Survey Center by landline and cell phone from June 19 through July 1. It has a margin of error of 3.8 percentage points. - Huffington Post, 7/10/14

Of course Brown's campaign is trying to spin this polling news:

http://www.politico.com/...

WASHINGTON, DC - FEBRUARY 16:  U.S. Sen. Scott Brown (R-MA) speaks during a news conference at the U.S. Capitol February 16, 2012 in Washington, DC.  The four Republican senators met to discuss four bipartisan jobs bills passed by the House that they say are being blocked by the Senate Democrat leadership in the Senate.  (Photo by Win McNamee/Getty Images)
Within minutes of the poll’s release, the Brown campaign sent out a memo downplaying the findings and outlining the Republican’s strategy: “Consolidate the Republican base and split the independent vote.”

The campaign said polls won’t mean much until Republicans choose their nominee on Sept. 9. “In 2014, the Senate race in New Hampshire won’t really begin until the day after the September 9 primary,” the Brown memo said. “That’s when Republicans across the state will rally behind their nominee to defeat Jeanne Shaheen.”

Brown, a former Massachusetts senator and Fox News contributor, is widely expected to win the primary. - Politico, 7/10/14

You keep on telling yourself that Scotty boy.  Things are looking great here but we can't take anything for granted and we need to be ready.  Click here to donate and get involved with Shaheen's campaign:
http://jeanneshaheen.org/

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